Preseason Rankings
North Dakota
Summit League
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#262
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.3#74
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#260
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#243
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 15.8% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 13.9 15.2
.500 or above 20.8% 52.2% 20.5%
.500 or above in Conference 42.5% 67.2% 42.2%
Conference Champion 6.5% 22.0% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 18.0% 9.7% 18.1%
First Four1.8% 1.4% 1.8%
First Round5.2% 15.1% 5.1%
Second Round0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 73 - 12
Quad 47 - 610 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2019 8   @ Gonzaga L 66-92 1%    
  Nov 17, 2019 199   @ Valparaiso L 66-72 29%    
  Nov 19, 2019 250   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 69-73 38%    
  Nov 24, 2019 70   @ Minnesota L 66-82 8%    
  Nov 29, 2019 257   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 72-75 39%    
  Nov 30, 2019 122   Georgia Southern L 77-86 22%    
  Dec 01, 2019 302   Campbell W 73-70 60%    
  Dec 06, 2019 198   @ Montana L 70-76 30%    
  Dec 08, 2019 192   @ Eastern Washington L 71-77 29%    
  Dec 21, 2019 88   @ Nebraska L 66-80 11%    
  Dec 29, 2019 74   @ Oregon St. L 65-80 9%    
  Jan 02, 2020 305   @ Denver L 74-75 49%    
  Jan 05, 2020 241   Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-79 56%    
  Jan 08, 2020 195   Nebraska Omaha L 76-77 49%    
  Jan 11, 2020 205   @ Oral Roberts L 73-79 32%    
  Jan 15, 2020 224   @ South Dakota St. L 76-81 33%    
  Jan 18, 2020 153   @ North Dakota St. L 68-77 22%    
  Jan 23, 2020 305   Denver W 77-71 69%    
  Jan 25, 2020 283   Western Illinois W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 30, 2020 241   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-82 37%    
  Feb 06, 2020 205   Oral Roberts W 77-76 51%    
  Feb 08, 2020 165   South Dakota L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 15, 2020 283   @ Western Illinois L 72-74 45%    
  Feb 19, 2020 224   South Dakota St. W 79-78 53%    
  Feb 22, 2020 153   North Dakota St. L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 26, 2020 195   @ Nebraska Omaha L 74-80 30%    
  Feb 29, 2020 165   @ South Dakota L 69-77 24%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 6.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.6 4.0 1.5 0.2 10.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.7 4.9 1.3 0.1 12.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.2 5.3 1.3 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.5 5.0 1.3 0.0 13.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.8 4.9 3.9 0.9 0.1 13.3 8th
9th 0.5 1.8 3.2 3.6 2.1 0.4 0.0 11.7 9th
Total 0.5 1.9 3.9 6.6 8.9 11.3 12.3 12.2 11.4 10.1 8.0 5.7 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 95.1% 0.9    0.9 0.1
13-3 81.6% 1.8    1.2 0.6 0.0
12-4 51.9% 1.9    0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
11-5 19.9% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
10-6 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.5% 6.5 3.8 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 54.8% 54.8% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 48.1% 48.1% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.0% 45.2% 45.2% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
13-3 2.2% 30.1% 30.1% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.5
12-4 3.6% 24.8% 24.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 2.7
11-5 5.7% 14.3% 14.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 4.9
10-6 8.0% 10.1% 10.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 7.2
9-7 10.1% 7.2% 7.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 9.4
8-8 11.4% 6.0% 6.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 10.7
7-9 12.2% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 11.8
6-10 12.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 12.1
5-11 11.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.2
4-12 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.9
3-13 6.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.6
2-14 3.9% 3.9
1-15 1.9% 1.9
0-16 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.0 93.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%